Analyst estimates
Based on the present analyst appraisals (see source information), we have identified the median. The median is the value in the middle of a row of data which are ordered by size. Contrary to the arithmetic mean, also called average, changes in individual data barely have any effect on the median.
Median (as at 7 November 2008)
|
|
2008 | 2009 |
|
Revenues from continued operations (€ m) |
54,058 |
54,887 |
|
|
14,462 | 14,429 |
|
EXPRESS |
14,077 | 14,516 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
13,797 | 14,398 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
13,929 | 14,353 |
|
Corporate Center/ Others |
−2,020 | −2,163 |
|
EBIT from continued operations(€ m) |
2,428 |
2,494 |
|
|
1,911 | 1,813 |
|
EXPRESS |
180 | 227 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
467 | 474 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
503 | 508 |
|
Corporate Center/ Others |
−500 | −450 |
|
Margin (%) |
4.5 |
4.5 |
|
|
13.2 | 12.6 |
|
EXPRESS |
1.3 | 1.6 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
3.4 | 3.3 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
||
|
EPS reported (€) |
1.52 | 1.62 |
|
Net Profit reported (€ m) |
1,569 | 1,695 |
Revenues and EBIT estimates based on median, i.e. figures do not add up.
Sources: BHF, Cheuvreux, Commerzbank, Credit Suisse, Equinet, HSBC, JPMorgan, MainFirst
Analyst estimates (as at 10 September 2008)
|
2008 |
2009 |
|||
| Min | Max | Min | Max | |
|
Revenues (€ mn) |
64,040 |
68,074 |
66,399 |
71,959 |
|
|
13,947 | 15,326 | 13,917 | 15,345 |
|
EXPRESS |
13,764 | 14,685 | 14,078 | 15,526 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
13,685 | 15,347 | 13,985 | 16,043 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
12,441 | 14,514 | 13,436 | 16,762 |
|
FINANCIAL SERVICES |
10,486 | 11,837 | 10,770 | 12,141 |
|
Corporate Center/ Others |
−2,588 | −810 | −2,562 | −425 |
|
EBIT (€ mn) |
3,429 |
4,108 |
3,675 |
4,432 |
|
|
1,913 | 1,974 | 1,748 | 1,953 |
|
EXPRESS |
156 | 358 | 124 | 737 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
444 | 526 | 481 | 570 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
491 | 569 | 430 | 647 |
|
FINANCIAL SERVICES |
864 | 1,273 | 1,124 | 1,362 |
|
Corporate Center/ Others |
−502 | 500 | −452 | −428 |
|
Margin (%) |
5.4 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
|
|
13.7 | 12.9 | 12.6 | 12.7 |
|
EXPRESS |
1.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 4.7 |
|
FORWARDING/FREIGHT |
3.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
SUPPLY CHAIN/CIS |
3.9 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
|
FINANCIAL SERVICES |
8.2 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 11.2 |
|
Profit |
||||
|
Net profit (€ mn) |
829 | 2,197 | 1,849 | 2,649 |
|
EPS (€) |
1.43 | 1.79 | 1.62 | 2.19 |
Revenues and EBIT estimates based on median, i.e. figures do not add up.
Sources: BHF, Cheuvreux, Commerzbank, Credit Suisse, HSBC, JPMorgan, MainFirst